Signal to Decision

Signal to decision

Forecasts published before the answer is known, then graded in public.

This month's live forecast

UK retail sales, forecast before the figure exists, graded the day it lands.

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What this looks like on one business

A completed backtest on a real UK retailer's weekly revenue.

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Method

How the forecasts are made, and what to distrust about them.

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About this project

I'm building toward data and AI work in Dubai, Abu Dhabi and London. Everything here was built, shipped, and graded in public. If that's the kind of thinking your team needs, get in touch.

If you run a business and wonder what your own numbers would look like treated this way, follow the journey. I'm always glad to talk data.

Follow the build on LinkedIn; every forecast here gets graded in public.

Email me LinkedIn Read case study #1